Census Tract · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally

Lakeville Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27037060832 · Dakota County, MN · pop 6,362

With a score of 5.3/10, tract 27037060832 in Lakeville in Dakota County ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 6,362 residents. That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

38% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,921 monthly, set against $138,281 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 7% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

1.1

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 4% Owners 93%

Tract context

Occupied units2,044

Renter share6.9%

SVI overall0.15

Poverty rate3.6%

Median income$138,281

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lakeville and the region

Centroid at 44.6945, -93.1775 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lakeville scores 1.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lakeville

6.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

Minnesota legislature & governorship

4.3

Economic stress

3.6% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,921 rent vs county FMR

6.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lakeville

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lakeville

3.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lakeville

4.9

How Lakeville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

17%Socioeconomic
27%Household composition
33%Racial/ethnic minority
18%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.3%Housing insecurity
5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
10.5%Food insecurity
6.5%SNAP enrollment
6.5%Transit barriers
8.0%No health insurance
15.6%Frequent mental distress
23.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lakeville

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lakeville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Dakota County average of 5.3 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060832

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060832?

Census tract 27037060832 in Lakeville scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 27037060832?

Median gross rent is $1,921/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060832?

3.6% of residents in tract 27037060832 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,362.

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060832?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 27th, minority 33th, housing 18th.

What share of households in tract 27037060832 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 27037060832 compare to Lakeville overall?

Tract 27037060832 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Lakeville at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lakeville

Top eight tracts in Lakeville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.