Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
South St. Paul Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27037060201 · Dakota County, MN · pop 2,745
Census tract 27037060201 covers part of South St. Paul, MN, and scores 4.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,745. Against Dakota County at 45.6%, 30% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,119
Renter share11.8%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$90,268
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
57
th percentile
Elevated
National
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across South St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9070, -93.0615 · click any tract to drill in
Why South St. Paul scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from South St. Paul
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,218 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from South St. Paul
3.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South St. Paul
3.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from South St. Paul
3.6
How South St. Paul compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 42Total filings over 5 yrs
- 4.78%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.2%Peak (2009)
- 6Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 57% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.9%Food insecurity
- 5.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.8%Transit barriers
- 7.3%No health insurance
- 14.3%Frequent mental distress
- 25.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South St. Paul
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.2/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.2/10.
Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. SNAP participation runs 5.6% against 15.2% nationally.
The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Food insecurity runs 8.9% against 17.8% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 42 evictions over 5 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2009 at 8.2% of renter households.
In a typical year about 4.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.3/10. Against average income of $90,268, annual rent is just 16%.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060201?
Census tract 27037060201 in South St. Paul scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060201?
Median gross rent is $1,218/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060201?
4.9% of residents in tract 27037060201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,745.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 55th, minority 43th, housing 25th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 42 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.78% of renter households, peaking at 8.2% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27037060201 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27037060201 compare to South St. Paul overall?
Tract 27037060201 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of South St. Paul at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in South St. Paul
Top eight tracts in South St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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