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Census Tract · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally

Lakeville Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27037060816 · Dakota County, MN · pop 7,238

Tract 27037060816, home to 7,238 residents in Lakeville in Dakota County, scores 5.6/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

43% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $3,088 monthly, set against $187,567 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 4% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 2% Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units2,221
Renter share4.0%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$187,567

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#11 of 14 tracts In Lakeville
Low
Within county
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#103 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
Very Low
Within state
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#1,413 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very Low
National
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#82,639 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lakeville and the region

Centroid at 44.7021, -93.2492 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lakeville scores 1.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lakeville
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,088 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeville
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeville
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeville
4.9

How Lakeville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lakeville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.11.1This tracttract 060816Lakeville: 4.94.9Lakevilleparent cityCounty: 2.12.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 19Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 10.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 30.8%Peak (2009)
  • 1Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270370608162009: 8 filings (30.77/100 renter HHs)2010: 3 filings (4.92/100 renter HHs)2011: 3 filings (5.36/100 renter HHs)2012: 4 filings (7.14/100 renter HHs)2013: 1 filings (1.79/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 88% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lakeville

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lakeville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Dakota County average of 5.3 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 19 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 10.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 30.8% of renter households in 2009.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060816

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060816?

Census tract 27037060816 in Lakeville scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27037060816?

Median gross rent is $3,088/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060816?

1.4% of residents in tract 27037060816 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,238.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060816?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 9th, minority 29th, housing 6th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060816?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 19 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060816 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.00% of renter households, peaking at 30.8% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 27037060816 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 27037060816 compare to Lakeville overall?

Tract 27037060816 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Lakeville at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lakeville

Top eight tracts in Lakeville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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