Within parent city
15
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Lakeville Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27037060816 · Dakota County, MN · pop 7,238
Census tract 27037060816 covers part of Lakeville, MN, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,238 residents. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units2,221
Renter share4.0%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$187,567
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lakeville and the region
Centroid at 44.7021, -93.2492 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lakeville scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lakeville
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,088 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeville
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeville
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeville
4.9
How Lakeville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 29%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 19Total filings over 5 yrs
- 10.00%Avg annual filing rate
- 30.8%Peak (2009)
- 1Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 88% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.8%Housing insecurity
- 3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.1%Food insecurity
- 3.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.4%Transit barriers
- 4.5%No health insurance
- 13.3%Frequent mental distress
- 19.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lakeville
At $3,088 a month, rents run 71% over what the rest of Lakeville commands. The voucher gap is 83.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
SNAP participation runs 3.7% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 1.2 points below the Dakota County average of 4.2.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.3/10. Court records carry 19 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Housing insecurity runs 5.8% against 14.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2009, when 30.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 10.0% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060816
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060816?
Census tract 27037060816 in Lakeville scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060816?
Median gross rent is $3,088/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060816?
1.4% of residents in tract 27037060816 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,238.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060816?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 9th, minority 29th, housing 6th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060816?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 19 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060816 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.00% of renter households, peaking at 30.8% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27037060816 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27037060816 compare to Lakeville overall?
Tract 27037060816 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Lakeville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lakeville
Top eight tracts in Lakeville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
27037060830
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Argonne
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27037061501
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27037060836
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27037060835
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Argonne
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27037060831
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27037060833
3.1
/ 10 · Low
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