Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Lyndale Eviction Risk: High , Minneapolis
Tract 27053008200 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 4,121 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 27053008200 sits in the Lyndale area of Minneapolis eviction risk, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. It is home to 4,121 residents. Against the Hennepin County average of 5.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.9 points.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units2,133
Renter share73.3%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate29.5%
Median income$51,191
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
98
th percentile
Very High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9448, -93.2830 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lyndale scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
29.5% poverty · this tract
7.4
Supply constraint
$1,089 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Lyndale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 48%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 74%Grade B
- 17%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 306Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.80%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.5%Peak (2013)
- 70Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 322Total filings 2020-21
- 4.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.11×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lyndale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.6%Housing insecurity
- 11.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.5%Food insecurity
- 19.5%SNAP enrollment
- 13.7%Transit barriers
- 13.4%No health insurance
- 18.5%Frequent mental distress
- 33.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lyndale
The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10. Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.5/10.
roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Hennepin County average of 43.1%. Average gross rent is $1,089, 21% below the Minneapolis average.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 306 filings here across 5 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2013 at 4.5% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 3.8% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053008200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053008200?
Census tract 27053008200 in the Lyndale neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053008200?
Median gross rent is $1,089/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053008200?
29.5% of residents in tract 27053008200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,121.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053008200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 48th, minority 69th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 27053008200 considered part of Lyndale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053008200 fall within Lyndale (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053008200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 306 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053008200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.80% of renter households, peaking at 4.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053008200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.11× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053008200 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053008200 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053008200 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053008200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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