Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally
Central Eviction Risk: Elevated , Minneapolis
Tract 27053109400 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 2,015 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
27053109400 is a census tract in the Central area of Minneapolis, MN. It scores 6.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,015 residents. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units600
Renter share44.2%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$85,385
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9378, -93.2711 · click any tract to drill in
Why Central scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,459 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Central compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 30%Grade B
- 49%Grade C
- 22%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 109Total filings over 5 yrs
- 7.58%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.2%Peak (2011)
- 11Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 64Total filings 2020-21
- 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.99×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Central. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.6%Housing insecurity
- 10.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.3%Food insecurity
- 15.2%SNAP enrollment
- 12.5%Transit barriers
- 15.9%No health insurance
- 17.6%Frequent mental distress
- 27.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Central
The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10. Against Hennepin County at 43.1%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.5/10.
It sits 1.4 points above the Hennepin County average of 5.1. The filing record is not thin: 109 evictions over 5 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2011 at 8.2% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Minneapolis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 7.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.1/10. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,459, close to the Minneapolis average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $85,385.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053109400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053109400?
Census tract 27053109400 in the Central neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053109400?
Median gross rent is $1,459/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053109400?
6.1% of residents in tract 27053109400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,015.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053109400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 95th, minority 77th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 27053109400 considered part of Central?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053109400 fall within Central (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053109400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 109 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053109400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.58% of renter households, peaking at 8.2% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053109400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.99× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053109400 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053109400 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053109400 scores 6.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053109400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 22% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related