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Neighborhood · Ranked #5,690 of 84,120 nationally

Central Eviction Risk: Elevated , Minneapolis

Tract 27053008300 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 1,913 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Eviction risk in Central in Minneapolis centers on tract 27053008300, which scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 1,913 residents. That is riskier than about 92% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 42% of renter households, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,503 monthly, set against $70,404 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 36% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units579
Renter share61.7%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate33.0%
Median income$70,404

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Central
Very High
Within parent city
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 121 tracts In Minneapolis
Elevated
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 329 tracts In Hennepin County
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#43 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region

Centroid at 44.9449, -93.2741 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
33.0% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$1,503 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0

How Central compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Central risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.86.8This tracttract 008300Minneapolis: 6.46.4Minneapolisparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 92Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 5.09%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.8%Peak (2009)
  • 15Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270530083002009: 24 filings (5.84/100 renter HHs)2010: 17 filings (4.33/100 renter HHs)2011: 22 filings (6.59/100 renter HHs)2012: 14 filings (4.19/100 renter HHs)2013: 15 filings (4.49/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 38% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 68Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (1.14× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (1.14× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (1.14× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 4 filings (4.55× baseline)2022-06-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 3 filings (7.89× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.89× baseline)2022-10-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (1.14× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (2.27× baseline)2023-02-01: 3 filings (4.84× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (0.72× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (1.14× baseline)2023-06-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (5.26× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-09-01: 2 filings (1.79× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (1.14× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 2 filings (1.45× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 2 filings (2.27× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (0.89× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 1 filings (1.14× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (2.63× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 2 filings (1.79× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2026-01-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hennepin County average of 5.6 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 9% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was B ("Still Desirable"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

The tract is Black and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 27053008300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053008300?

Census tract 27053008300 in the Central neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27053008300?

Median gross rent is $1,503/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27053008300?

33.0% of residents in tract 27053008300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,913.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27053008300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 94th, minority 77th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 27053008300 considered part of Central?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053008300 fall within Central (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053008300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 92 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053008300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.09% of renter households, peaking at 5.8% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 27053008300 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 27053008300 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 27053008300 compare to Minneapolis overall?

Tract 27053008300 scores 6.8/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 27053008300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 9% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis

Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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