Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally
Marcy-Holmes Eviction Risk: Elevated , Minneapolis
Tract 27053103700 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 4,192 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 27053103700 covers part of the Marcy-Holmes area of Minneapolis, MN, and scores 7.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,192 residents. It sits 2.8 points above the Hennepin County average of 5.1.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units2,716
Renter share80.6%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate12.4%
Median income$57,325
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9872, -93.2509 · click any tract to drill in
Why Marcy-Holmes scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
12.4% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,211 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Marcy-Holmes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 45%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 21%Grade C
- 33%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 48Total filings over 5 yrs
- 0.70%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.9%Peak (2013)
- 13Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 18% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 219Total filings 2020-21
- 2.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.28×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Marcy-Holmes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.5%Housing insecurity
- 5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.0%Food insecurity
- 7.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.6%Transit barriers
- 7.5%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 22.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Marcy-Holmes
The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10. 81% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.
21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. Cost burden runs roughly one in two here against 43.1% across Hennepin County.
The filing record is not thin: 48 evictions over 5 years of observation. SNAP participation runs 7.0% against 15.2% nationally. At $1,211 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Minneapolis commands.
Filings peaked in 2013 at 0.9% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Minneapolis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 0.7% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053103700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053103700?
Census tract 27053103700 in the Marcy-Holmes neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053103700?
Median gross rent is $1,211/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053103700?
12.4% of residents in tract 27053103700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,192.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053103700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 3th, minority 45th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 27053103700 considered part of Marcy-Holmes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053103700 fall within Marcy-Holmes (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053103700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 48 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053103700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.70% of renter households, peaking at 0.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053103700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.28× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053103700 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053103700 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053103700 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053103700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 33% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related