Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Marcy-Holmes Eviction Risk: High , Minneapolis

Tract 27053003802 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,857 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 27053003802 sits in the Marcy-Holmes area of Minneapolis eviction risk, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. Population here is 3,857. The severe-burden share is 48%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 63% Stable renters 36% Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units958
Renter share98.7%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate68.7%
Median income$34,931

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Marcy-Holmes
Moderate
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#24 of 121 tracts In Minneapolis
High
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 329 tracts In Hennepin County
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region

Centroid at 44.9839, -93.2394 · click any tract to drill in

Why Marcy-Holmes scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
68.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,090 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0

How Marcy-Holmes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Marcy-Holmes risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.08.0This tracttract 003802Minneapolis: 6.66.6Minneapolisparent cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 86Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.87×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 2 filings (5.26× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (1.14× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 2 filings (16.67× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 1 filings (2.63× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (2.63× baseline)2023-02-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (1.14× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (2.63× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (8.33× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (2.63× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (2.63× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (5.26× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 4 filings (10.53× baseline)2024-07-01: 9 filings (8.04× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 4 filings (16.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 2 filings (5.26× baseline)2024-11-01: 2 filings (5.26× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (2.63× baseline)2025-01-01: 3 filings (7.89× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (1.14× baseline)2025-06-01: 2 filings (5.26× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (0.89× baseline)2025-08-01: 2 filings (16.67× baseline)2025-09-01: 4 filings (16.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 1 filings (2.63× baseline)2025-11-01: 7 filings (18.42× baseline)2025-12-01: 4 filings (10.53× baseline)2026-01-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Marcy-Holmes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Marcy-Holmes

Against Hennepin County at 43.1%, 64% of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. It sits 2.9 points above the Hennepin County average of 5.1.

The poverty rate is 69%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. This is renter territory: 99% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side, local political climate reads 9/10.

Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $34,931, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. SNAP participation runs 31.2% against 15.2% nationally.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. At $1,090 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Minneapolis commands.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 27053003802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053003802?

Census tract 27053003802 in the Marcy-Holmes neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27053003802?

Median gross rent is $1,090/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27053003802?

68.7% of residents in tract 27053003802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,857.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27053003802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 0th, minority 39th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 27053003802 considered part of Marcy-Holmes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053003802 fall within Marcy-Holmes (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 27053003802 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.87× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27053003802 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27053003802 compare to Minneapolis overall?

Tract 27053003802 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 27053003802 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis

Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related