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Neighborhood · Orono, MN

Crystal Bay Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,627 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 3.1–3.1

Crystal Bay maps to a single census tract in Orono, MN and houses 3,627 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.1/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Severe burden reaches 47%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.2/10. Running cool is economic stress, at 2.5/10. Food insecurity affects 6.0% of adults, 11.8 points below the national rate.

Average gross rent is $1,569, 14% below the Orono average of $1,818. On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.8/10. 4.4% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

At 15% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 47% of renter households.

Rent takes 8% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

One tract means one number: 3.1/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Crystal Bay vs Orono How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.5% +6%
Orono: 43.9%
Average gross rent
$1,569 -14%
Orono: $1,818
Average HH income
$225,337 +24%
Orono: $181,875
Poverty rate
10.1% +59%
Orono: 6.3%
Renter share
14.9% +63%
Orono: 9.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Crystal Bay and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.1–3.1

Why Crystal Bay scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
15% renter households · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Economic stress
10.1% below poverty line · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Risk score comparison

Crystal Bay vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Crystal Bay score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.1Crystal BayNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Crystal Bay

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27053027205 3.1 3,627 46% $1,569
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 12

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 4%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 53%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 36%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 18%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Crystal Bay

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 7Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.1Avg monthly observed
  • 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.62×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Crystal Bay

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Crystal Bay

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Crystal Bay?

Crystal Bay scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Crystal Bay compare to Orono overall?

Crystal Bay scores 0.9 points lower than Orono overall (4/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 44% citywide. Average rent: $1,569 vs $1,818.
Q3

What is the average rent in Crystal Bay?

Average gross rent in Crystal eviction risk Bay is $1,569/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Crystal Bay residents are renters?

15% of Crystal Bay households are renter-occupied (vs 9% in Orono). The neighborhood has 3,627 residents.
Q5

Is Crystal Bay a high social-vulnerability area?

Crystal Bay sits in the 12th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Crystal Bay for landlords?

Crystal eviction risk Bay carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Orono as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Crystal Bay?

Crystal Bay has 3,391 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (74.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (13.8%), Other / Multiracial (10.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Crystal Bay

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