Census Tract · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Duluth Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 27137001100 · St. Louis County, MN · pop 1,611 · 97% of tract blocks fall in Duluth

Here is how census tract 27137001100, in Duluth eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.7/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 1,611. On the national scale it ranks #29,949 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,580 a month while the average household earns $70,000 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.5

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 32% Owners 37%

Tract context

Occupied units820

Renter share63.2%

SVI overall0.22

Poverty rate17.5%

Median income$70,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Duluth and the region

Centroid at 46.8056, -92.0626 · click any tract to drill in

Why Duluth scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Duluth

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.8

State political climate

Minnesota legislature & governorship

4.3

Economic stress

17.5% poverty · this tract

4.4

Supply constraint

$1,580 rent vs county FMR

8.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Duluth

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Duluth

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Duluth

5.0

How Duluth compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

36%Socioeconomic
6%Household composition
19%Racial/ethnic minority
45%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

55%Grade A
0%Grade B
19%Grade C
26%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.5%Housing insecurity
5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
9.4%Food insecurity
6.8%SNAP enrollment
7.1%Transit barriers
5.5%No health insurance
16.1%Frequent mental distress
25.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Duluth

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 8.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Duluth eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Louis County average of 4.9 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Part of this tract, about 26% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was A ("Best"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27137001100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27137001100?

Census tract 27137001100 in Duluth scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 27137001100?

Median gross rent is $1,580/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 27137001100?

17.5% of residents in tract 27137001100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,611.

How socially vulnerable is tract 27137001100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 6th, minority 19th, housing 45th.

What share of households in tract 27137001100 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 27137001100 compare to Duluth overall?

Tract 27137001100 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Duluth at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Duluth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 27137001100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 26% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Duluth

Top eight tracts in Duluth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.