Census Tract · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

Duluth Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 27137015600 · St. Louis County, MN · pop 2,850

27137015600 is a census tract in Duluth, MN. It scores 5.7/10 for landlords. Cost burden runs 54% here against 40.0% across St. Louis County.

Risk score

5.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 30% Owners 34%

Tract context

Occupied units1,394

Renter share66.3%

SVI overall0.74

Poverty rate29.1%

Median income$35,221

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Duluth and the region

Centroid at 46.7624, -92.1155 · click any tract to drill in

Why Duluth scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Duluth

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.8

State political climate

Minnesota legislature & governorship

4.3

Economic stress

29.1% poverty · this tract

7.3

Supply constraint

$920 rent vs county FMR

3.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Duluth

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Duluth

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Duluth

5.0

How Duluth compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

90%Socioeconomic
51%Household composition
39%Racial/ethnic minority
55%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
9%Grade B
4%Grade C
5%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

19.4%Housing insecurity
14.0%Utility-shutoff threat
27.6%Food insecurity
25.9%SNAP enrollment
16.6%Transit barriers
11.9%No health insurance
23.1%Frequent mental distress
38.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Duluth

The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. It sits 1.4 points above the St. Louis County average of 4.3. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 7.3/10.

SNAP participation runs 25.9% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 27.6% against 17.8% nationally. At $920 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Duluth commands.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 3.1/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 74th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 27137015600

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27137015600?

Census tract 27137015600 in Duluth scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 27137015600?

Median gross rent is $920/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 27137015600?

29.1% of residents in tract 27137015600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,850.

How socially vulnerable is tract 27137015600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 51th, minority 39th, housing 55th.

What share of households in tract 27137015600 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 27137015600 compare to Duluth overall?

Tract 27137015600 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Duluth at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Duluth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 27137015600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 5% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Duluth

Top eight tracts in Duluth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.