Census Tract · Ranked #5,690 of 84,120 nationally

Duluth Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 27137015700 · St. Louis County, MN · pop 5,009

Duluth in St. Louis County is where census tract 27137015700 sits, home to 5,009 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.2/10. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 69% of renter households, a severe level, and 45% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,350 a month against an average household income of $52,388 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 71% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.8

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 49% Stable renters 22% Owners 29%

Tract context

Occupied units1,040

Renter share71.3%

SVI overall0.35

Poverty rate41.6%

Median income$52,388

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Duluth and the region

Centroid at 46.8183, -92.0834 · click any tract to drill in

Why Duluth scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Duluth

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.8

State political climate

Minnesota legislature & governorship

4.3

Economic stress

41.6% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$1,350 rent vs county FMR

6.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Duluth

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Duluth

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Duluth

5.0

How Duluth compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 35

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

67%Socioeconomic
1%Household composition
28%Racial/ethnic minority
75%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

27%Grade A
14%Grade B
47%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.7%Housing insecurity
9.3%Utility-shutoff threat
22.1%Food insecurity
17.0%SNAP enrollment
16.3%Transit barriers
9.1%No health insurance
24.0%Frequent mental distress
35.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Duluth

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Duluth eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Louis County average of 4.9 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 27137015700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27137015700?

Census tract 27137015700 in Duluth scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 27137015700?

Median gross rent is $1,350/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 27137015700?

41.6% of residents in tract 27137015700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,009.

How socially vulnerable is tract 27137015700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 1th, minority 28th, housing 75th.

What share of households in tract 27137015700 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 27137015700 compare to Duluth overall?

Tract 27137015700 scores 6.8/10, higher than the parent city of Duluth at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Duluth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 27137015700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Duluth

Top eight tracts in Duluth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.