Census Tract · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

Duluth Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 27137001300 · St. Louis County, MN · pop 1,814

Census tract 27137001300 covers part of Duluth, MN, and scores 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,814 residents. 55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the St. Louis County average of 40.0%.

Risk score

5.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 33% Owners 26%

Tract context

Occupied units838

Renter share74.1%

SVI overall0.47

Poverty rate32.0%

Median income$46,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Duluth and the region

Centroid at 46.8028, -92.0875 · click any tract to drill in

Why Duluth scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Duluth

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.8

State political climate

Minnesota legislature & governorship

4.3

Economic stress

32.0% poverty · this tract

8.0

Supply constraint

$1,061 rent vs county FMR

4.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Duluth

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Duluth

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Duluth

5.0

How Duluth compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

64%Socioeconomic
4%Household composition
29%Racial/ethnic minority
78%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
53%Grade B
47%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.5%Housing insecurity
9.8%Utility-shutoff threat
19.3%Food insecurity
16.8%SNAP enrollment
13.4%Transit barriers
8.7%No health insurance
22.0%Frequent mental distress
32.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Duluth

Severe burden reaches 28%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 74% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8/10. It sits 1.4 points above the St. Louis County average of 4.3.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Duluth. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.3/10.

Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,061, close to the Duluth average.

Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $46,000.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 27137001300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27137001300?

Census tract 27137001300 in Duluth scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 27137001300?

Median gross rent is $1,061/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 27137001300?

32.0% of residents in tract 27137001300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,814.

How socially vulnerable is tract 27137001300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 4th, minority 29th, housing 78th.

What share of households in tract 27137001300 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 27137001300 compare to Duluth overall?

Tract 27137001300 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Duluth at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Duluth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 27137001300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Duluth

Top eight tracts in Duluth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.