Duluth Eviction Risk: Moderate

The poverty rate is 43%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Average gross rent is $740, 32% below the Duluth average.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the St. Louis County average of 40.0%.

SNAP participation runs 27.9% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 1.4 points above the St. Louis County average of 4.3. Food insecurity runs 28.5% against 17.8% nationally.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Duluth. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.