Rountree/Walnut Eviction Risk: Moderate

Severe burden reaches 32%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

This is a renter market: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The poverty rate is 29%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 2/10.

Average gross rent is $804, 17% below the Springfield average of $964. The filing record is not thin: 570 evictions logged in this tract. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.5/10.

The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 5.5% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 5.1% in 2017 against a 5.5% peak. Among the 25 mapped neighborhoods of Springfield, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Tom Watkins and Robberson. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $31,289.

One tract means one number: 4.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.