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Neighborhood · Springfield, MO

Tom Watkins Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,386 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10 · range 4.8–4.8

Tom Watkins is a one-tract neighborhood of Springfield, MO and houses 3,386 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.8/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 54% against 29.4% citywide, putting Tom Watkins 24.3% over its own city.

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The severe-burden share is 35%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

The poverty rate is 40%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Set annual rent against average household income of $29,148 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. SNAP participation is 30.3% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 2/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 22.5% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 675 evictions logged in this tract.

At $850 a month, rents sit 12% under what the rest of Springfield commands. The worst year on record was 2017, when filings touched 11.5% of renter households.

Among the 25 mapped neighborhoods of Springfield, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

One tract means one number: 4.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Tom Watkins vs Springfield How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.7% +83%
Springfield: 29.4%
Average gross rent
$850 -12%
Springfield: $964
Average HH income
$29,148 -37%
Springfield: $45,984
Poverty rate
40.2% +107%
Springfield: 19.4%
Renter share
39.3% -30%
Springfield: 56.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tom Watkins and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.8–4.8

Why Tom Watkins scores 4.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
39% renter households · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
40.2% below poverty line · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Tom Watkins vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Tom Watkins score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.8Tom WatkinsNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Tom Watkins

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
29077003300 4.8 3,386 54% $850
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 83

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 94%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 72%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 36%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 67%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Tom Watkins

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 675Total filings (sum)
  • 9.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.5%Peak year (2017)
  • 11.49%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Tom Watkins

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Tom Watkins

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Tom Watkins?

Tom Watkins scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Tom Watkins compare to Springfield overall?

Tom Watkins scores 1.4 points higher than Springfield overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $850 vs $964.
Q3

What is the average rent in Tom Watkins?

Average gross rent in Tom Watkins is $850/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Tom Watkins residents are renters?

39% of Tom Watkins households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Springfield). The neighborhood has 3,386 residents.
Q5

Is Tom Watkins a high social-vulnerability area?

Tom Watkins sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Tom Watkins for landlords?

Tom Watkins carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Springfield as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Tom Watkins?

Tom Watkins has 3,565 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (78.7%), Hispanic / Latino (10.9%), Other / Multiracial (5.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Tom Watkins

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Springfield

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Tom Watkins.

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