Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Tom Watkins Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield
Tract 29077003300 · Greene County, MO · pop 3,386 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 29077003300 sits in the Tom Watkins area of Springfield eviction risk, MO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. It is home to 3,386 residents. The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,595
Renter share39.2%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate40.2%
Median income$29,148
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
95
th percentile
Very High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Springfield and the region
Centroid at 37.2337, -93.3308 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tom Watkins scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Springfield
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
40.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$850 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
2.5
How Tom Watkins compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 36%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 17%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 675Total filings over 9 yrs
- 9.93%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.5%Peak (2017)
- 95Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 102% over the past 9 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.5%Housing insecurity
- 18.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 30.8%Food insecurity
- 30.3%SNAP enrollment
- 17.1%Transit barriers
- 14.9%No health insurance
- 24.2%Frequent mental distress
- 49.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tom Watkins
What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 40%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Greene County average of 41.2%. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.
Set annual rent against average income of $29,148 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 2/10.
It sits 1.1 points above the Greene County average of 3.7. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The filing record is not thin: 675 evictions over 9 years of observation.
Housing insecurity runs 22.5% against 14.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $850, 12% below the Springfield average.
The worst year on record was 2017, when 11.5% of renter households were served.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 29077003300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29077003300?
Census tract 29077003300 in the Tom Watkins neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29077003300?
Median gross rent is $850/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29077003300?
40.2% of residents in tract 29077003300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,386.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29077003300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 72th, minority 36th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 29077003300 considered part of Tom Watkins?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29077003300 fall within Tom Watkins (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29077003300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 675 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 29077003300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.93% of renter households, peaking at 11.5% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29077003300 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29077003300 compare to Springfield overall?
Tract 29077003300 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29077003300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 17% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Springfield
Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Heart of the Westside
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Fassnight
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Woodland Heights
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
West Central
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
West Central
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Grant Beach
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Robberson
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Midtown
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Related