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Bowling Green, Missouri eviction risk overview
City brief · 4,170 residents

Bowling Green, MO Eviction Risk: LOW

Pike County · Population 4,170

In 2026
Risk score
2.5
LOW

80th percentile, Missouri.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.1 Average2.7 Now2.5
3.2 2.1 1976 · score 2.5 1977 · score 2.5 1978 · score 2.5 1979 · score 2.5 1980 · score 2.6 1981 · score 2.6 1982 · score 2.6 1983 · score 2.6 1984 · score 2.4 1985 · score 2.3 1986 · score 2.2 1987 · score 2.1 1988 · score 2.4 1989 · score 2.4 1990 · score 2.5 1991 · score 2.6 1992 · score 3.0 1993 · score 3.1 1994 · score 3.0 1995 · score 3.1 1996 · score 3.0 1997 · score 3.0 1998 · score 2.6 1999 · score 2.6 2000 · score 2.6 2001 · score 2.6 2002 · score 2.7 2003 · score 2.7 2004 · score 2.6 2005 · score 2.6 2006 · score 2.6 2007 · score 2.6 2008 · score 2.9 2009 · score 3.1 2010 · score 3.2 2011 · score 3.1 2012 · score 3.0 2013 · score 2.9 2014 · score 2.8 2015 · score 2.7 2016 · score 2.6 2017 · score 2.5 2018 · score 2.4 2019 · score 2.4 2020 · score 3.0 2021 · score 3.2 2022 · score 2.3 2023 · score 2.3 2024 · score 2.5 2025 · score 2.5 2026 · score 2.5

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 3.1 Regional 3.1 State 2.1 Economic 8.1 Supply 5.9 Rent Control 4.2 Eviction 1.7 Tenant 8.4 Housing 6.1 2.5 LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +57.9% (2024)
    3.1
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    3.1
  3. State political climate
    Missouri legislature & governorship
    2.1
  4. Economic stress
    21.1% poverty · 7.7% unemp.
    8.1
  5. Supply constraint
    $800 average · 47.9% renters
    5.9
  6. Rent Control risk
    26.8% of income on rent
    4.2
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    36 days filing → judgment
    1.7
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    47.9% renters
    8.4
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    6.1
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bowling Green and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Bowling Green compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Pike County
High
#2 of 9 cities
Rank in county, 88th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 9 cities in Pike County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Missouri
High
#232 of 1,082 cities
Rank in state, 79th percentileLowHigh
#232 of 1,082 cities in Missouri for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Bowling Green risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Bowling Green: 2.52.5Bowling GreenThis cityCounty: 2.52.5Countyavg in countyState: 2.62.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 2.5
    / 10 · LOW
    The verdict

    A Low-tier market.

    Composite 2.5/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend+0.0 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 36d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $800/mo. A contested eviction takes 36 days and costs $1,224–$3,157 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 47.9%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 4,170 residents, 47.9% rent. 27% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 21.1% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 3.1
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Light-statute interior market.

    Local & regional political climate score 3.1 and 3.1 (GOP margin +57.9% (2024)). State climate at 2.1, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 2.1
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 2.1/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1.7, housing court bias 6.1, rent-control risk 4.2. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-3.3 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 8.1
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the real risk.

    Economic stress: 8.1. Supply constraint: 5.9. The numbers behind those: 21.1% poverty, 7.7% unemployment, 27% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Bowling Green sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) O'Fallon, MO · 37d · ~$2.2k all-in ($60/day) · score 2.1 O'Fallon Kansas City, MO · 40d · ~$2.5k all-in ($63/day) · score 3 Kansas City St. Louis, MO · 43d · ~$2.4k all-in ($56/day) · score 3.3 St. Louis Springfield, MO · 38d · ~$3.8k all-in ($99/day) · score 2.5 Springfield Columbia, MO · 42d · ~$4.4k all-in ($104/day) · score 2.8 Columbia Independence, MO · 43d · ~$2.3k all-in ($52/day) · score 2.8 Independence Lee's Summit, MO · 41d · ~$2.4k all-in ($59/day) · score 2.5 Lee's Summit St. Charles, MO · 36d · ~$2.5k all-in ($68/day) · score 2.3 St. Charles St. Joseph, MO · 41d · ~$2.3k all-in ($57/day) · score 2.2 St. Joseph Blue Springs, MO · 37d · ~$2.5k all-in ($67/day) · score 2.4 Blue Springs Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Bowling Green
Bowling Green · 36d · ~$2.2k all-in ($61/day) · score 2.5 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Bowling Green, MO

Landlording in Bowling Green, Missouri, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 2.5/10 (LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Bowling Green is a city of 4,170 residents where 47.9% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 26.8% of income on rent. At an average rent of $800/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Bowling Green eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1.7/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Bowling Green closes 36 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Bowling Green's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 6.1/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Bowling Green runs $1,224 to $3,157 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 36 days of typical timeline and $800/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 8.4/10 in Bowling Green, and the city has limited rent control exposure (4.2/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Missouri, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Bowling Green: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Missouri's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $3,157 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Bowling Green

Trap · 4.2/10
The 4/10 score weighs nine sub-factors including political climate, court bias, supply constraint, and tenant organizing strength. Bowling Green's rent-control-risk sub-score is 4.2/10, driven by state preemption and market dynamics.
04Eviction filings

Live filings tracking · Eviction Lab

Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System, state-level (no county tracker available). Last update 2026-05-01.

In the most recent month, 3,285 eviction cases were filed across the tracker's coverage area, 0.88× the historical baseline (below baseline). Past 12 months: 44,239 filings. Pandemic-era cumulative: 244,075.

  • 3,285Past month
  • 44,239Past 12 months
  • 0.88×vs baseline (past mo)
  • 18.2%Repeat-tenant filings
Notice requirement: at least ten days notice (for nonpayment of rent cases, though in other cases more). Filing fee: minimum filing fee of $33.
Last 36 months of filings 2023-05-01 – 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings (Eviction Lab tracker)2023-05-01: 4,308 filings (1.04× hist)2023-06-01: 4,368 filings (1.09× hist)2023-07-01: 4,067 filings (0.98× hist)2023-08-01: 4,271 filings (1.01× hist)2023-09-01: 4,134 filings (1.03× hist)2023-10-01: 4,557 filings (1.07× hist)2023-11-01: 3,861 filings (1.05× hist)2023-12-01: 3,321 filings (0.95× hist)2024-01-01: 4,075 filings (1.04× hist)2024-02-01: 3,910 filings (0.99× hist)2024-03-01: 3,376 filings (0.89× hist)2024-04-01: 3,563 filings (0.96× hist)2024-05-01: 3,991 filings (0.96× hist)2024-06-01: 3,667 filings (0.91× hist)2024-07-01: 4,247 filings (1.02× hist)2024-08-01: 4,204 filings (0.99× hist)2024-09-01: 3,903 filings (0.97× hist)2024-10-01: 3,988 filings (0.93× hist)2024-11-01: 3,506 filings (0.95× hist)2024-12-01: 3,675 filings (1.05× hist)2025-01-01: 4,255 filings (1.09× hist)2025-02-01: 3,552 filings (0.91× hist)2025-03-01: 3,234 filings (0.85× hist)2025-04-01: 3,700 filings (1.00× hist)2025-05-01: 3,658 filings (0.88× hist)2025-06-01: 3,488 filings (0.87× hist)2025-07-01: 4,442 filings (1.07× hist)2025-08-01: 3,869 filings (0.91× hist)2025-09-01: 3,990 filings (0.99× hist)2025-10-01: 3,771 filings (0.88× hist)2025-11-01: 3,265 filings (0.89× hist)2025-12-01: 3,493 filings (1.00× hist)2026-01-01: 3,667 filings (0.94× hist)2026-02-01: 3,715 filings (0.96× hist)2026-03-01: 3,596 filings (0.95× hist)2026-04-01: 3,285 filings (0.88× hist)
Filings dropped 10% over the past 12 months.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the first step if my Bowling Green tenant doesn't pay rent?

The very first step is to issue a 5-day pay-or-quit notice. Deliver this notice to your tenant, giving them five full days to either pay the overdue rent or vacate the property. Make sure to keep a copy for your records and document the delivery method.
Q2

Can I evict a tenant in Bowling Green without a specific "just cause"?

Yes, Missouri law does not have a statewide "just cause" requirement for termination. For month-to-month tenancies, you can typically terminate the lease with a 30-day notice without needing to state a specific reason, as long as it's not discriminatory or retaliatory. For fixed-term leases, you must adhere to the lease terms unless there's a violation.
Q3

How much does it typically cost to evict someone in Bowling Green, MO?

A typical eviction in Bowling Green can cost anywhere from $1,224 to $3,157. This range includes court filing fees, potential attorney fees, and the cost of lost rent during the 36-day average eviction timeline.
Q4

What's the maximum security deposit I can collect in Bowling Green?

In Missouri, you can collect a security deposit up to two months' rent. For a average rent of $800/month, this means you can ask for a maximum of $1,600 as a security deposit.
Q5

How long do I have to return a security deposit after a tenant moves out?

You have 30 days after a tenant vacates the property to return their security deposit in Missouri. If you make deductions, you must provide an itemized list of those deductions.
Q6

Is "cash for keys" a good idea in Bowling Green?

"Cash for keys" can be a very effective strategy in Bowling Green. It can significantly reduce your costs and timeline compared to a formal eviction, especially given the typical eviction costs and timeline. Always get the agreement in writing.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 2.5/10 places Bowling Green in the 80th percentile of Missouri cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.