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Neighborhood · St. Louis, MO

Lafayette Square Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,878 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10 · range 4.2–4.2

Lafayette Square maps to a single census tract in St. Louis, MO and houses 2,878 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.2/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Against a St. Louis baseline of 28.2%, 39% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Severe burden reaches 23%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.

The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Court records for this tract carry 441 eviction filings.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 3/10. The worst year on record was 2004, when filings touched 8.7% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 2.7% in 2017, is well off that peak. That places it #39 of 69 neighborhoods in St. Louis. The closest comparables inside the same city are Botanical Heights and Skinker DeBaliviere.

Rent takes 15% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Average gross rent runs $978, close to the St. Louis average. 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Lafayette Square vs St. Louis How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.2% +39%
St. Louis: 28.2%
Average gross rent
$978 -2%
St. Louis: $997
Average HH income
$78,421 +36%
St. Louis: $57,574
Poverty rate
22.9% +14%
St. Louis: 20.0%
Renter share
50.0% -9%
St. Louis: 54.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lafayette Square and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.2–4.2

Why Lafayette Square scores 4.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
39% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
50% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
22.9% below poverty line · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

Lafayette Square vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lafayette Square score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.2Lafayette SquareNeighborhood4.2Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Lafayette Square

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
29510123200 4.2 2,878 39% $978
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 34

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 48%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 10%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 58%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 38%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lafayette Square

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 441Total filings (sum)
  • 4.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.7%Peak year (2004)
  • 2.66%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 226Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.9Avg monthly observed
  • 2.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.19×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon, OR).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lafayette Square

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lafayette Square

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lafayette Square?

Lafayette Square scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lafayette Square compare to St. Louis overall?

Lafayette Square scores 0.0 points higher than St. Louis overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $978 vs $997.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lafayette Square?

Average gross rent in Lafayette Square is $978/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lafayette Square residents are renters?

50% of Lafayette Square households are renter-occupied (vs 55% in St. Louis). The neighborhood has 2,878 residents.
Q5

Is Lafayette Square a high social-vulnerability area?

Lafayette Square sits in the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Lafayette Square for landlords?

Lafayette Square carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Louis as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Lafayette Square?

Lafayette Square has 2,937 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (69.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (25.4%), Hispanic / Latino (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lafayette Square

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Louis

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lafayette Square.

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