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Neighborhood · St. Louis, MO

McKinley Heights Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,089 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.9/10 · range 3.9–3.9

McKinley Heights is a one-tract neighborhood of St. Louis, MO and houses 3,089 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.9/10, in the Lower tier. Against a St. Louis baseline of 28.2%, 45% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The severe-burden share is 22%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. At $1,167 a month, rents sit 17% over what the rest of St. Louis commands.

Court records for this tract carry 558 eviction filings. The poverty rate is 17%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Filing activity peaked in 2007 at 8.8% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 3.1% in 2017, is well off that peak. Among the 69 mapped neighborhoods of St. Louis, it ranks #47 by risk, the lower third.

For a like-for-like read, Downtown West and Holly Hills score within a fraction of it. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $65,139.

55% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.9/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
McKinley Heights vs St. Louis How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.1% +60%
St. Louis: 28.2%
Average gross rent
$1,167 +17%
St. Louis: $997
Average HH income
$65,139 +13%
St. Louis: $57,574
Poverty rate
17.4% -13%
St. Louis: 20.0%
Renter share
54.9% +0%
St. Louis: 54.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across McKinley Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.9–3.9

Why McKinley Heights scores 3.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
55% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
17.4% below poverty line · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Risk score comparison

McKinley Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

McKinley Heights score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.9McKinley HeightsNeighborhood4.2Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in McKinley Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
29510123300 3.9 3,089 45% $1,167
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 38

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 67%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 21%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 59%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 14%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in McKinley Heights

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 558Total filings (sum)
  • 5.42%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.8%Peak year (2007)
  • 3.06%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 160Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.1Avg monthly observed
  • 2.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.85×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon, OR).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in McKinley Heights

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About McKinley Heights

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for McKinley Heights?

McKinley Heights scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does McKinley Heights compare to St. Louis overall?

McKinley Heights scores 0.3 points lower than St. Louis overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,167 vs $997.
Q3

What is the average rent in McKinley Heights?

Average gross rent in McKinley Heights is $1,167/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of McKinley Heights residents are renters?

55% of McKinley Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 55% in St. Louis). The neighborhood has 3,089 residents.
Q5

Is McKinley Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

McKinley Heights sits in the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is McKinley Heights for landlords?

McKinley Heights carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Louis as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of McKinley Heights?

McKinley Heights has 2,972 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (56.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (28.4%), Other / Multiracial (10.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near McKinley Heights

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Louis

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to McKinley Heights.

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