Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #69,776 of 84,120 nationally
Affton Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189220002 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,574
Tract 29189220002, home to 3,574 residents in Affton in St. Louis County, scores 5.4/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #39,595 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
45% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,011 a month against an average household income of $73,102 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 39% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,775
Renter share38.7%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$73,102
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
National
17
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Affton and the region
Centroid at 38.5496, -90.3222 · click any tract to drill in
Why Affton scores 2.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Affton
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,011 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Affton
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Affton
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Affton
3.8
How Affton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 29%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 20%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 26%Grade B
- 7%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 148Total filings over 8 yrs
- 4.70%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.8%Peak (2004)
- 14Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 26% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 66Total filings 2020-21
- 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.05×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.1%Food insecurity
- 6.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 6.7%No health insurance
- 17.1%Frequent mental distress
- 30.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Affton
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 4.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Affton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 148 eviction filings here over 8 tracked years, with about 4.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.8% of renter households in 2004.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189220002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189220002?
Census tract 29189220002 in Affton scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189220002?
Median gross rent is $1,011/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189220002?
3.6% of residents in tract 29189220002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,574.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189220002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 41th, minority 20th, housing 10th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189220002?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 148 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189220002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.70% of renter households, peaking at 9.8% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189220002 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.05× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189220002 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189220002 compare to Affton overall?
Tract 29189220002 scores 2.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Affton at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Affton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29189220002 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Affton
Top eight tracts in Affton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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