Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally
Affton Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189219700 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 5,821 · 65% of tract blocks fall in Affton
How risky is Affton in St. Louis County for landlords? Census tract 29189219700 scores 5.3/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 49th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 39% of renter households, a high level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $930 a month while the average household earns $61,591 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,406
Renter share35.4%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$61,591
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
32
th percentile
Low
National
29
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Affton and the region
Centroid at 38.5650, -90.3293 · click any tract to drill in
Why Affton scores 2.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Affton
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$930 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Affton
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Affton
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Affton
3.8
How Affton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 6%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 369Total filings over 8 yrs
- 5.01%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.9%Peak (2006)
- 39Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 142Total filings 2020-21
- 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.51×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.1%Housing insecurity
- 8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.5%Food insecurity
- 8.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.6%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 34.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Affton
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 4.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Affton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 369 eviction filings here over 8 tracked years, with about 5.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.9% of renter households in 2006.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189219700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189219700?
Census tract 29189219700 in Affton scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189219700?
Median gross rent is $930/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189219700?
8.1% of residents in tract 29189219700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,821.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189219700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 80th, minority 31th, housing 68th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189219700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 369 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189219700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.01% of renter households, peaking at 6.9% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189219700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.51× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189219700 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189219700 compare to Affton overall?
Tract 29189219700 scores 2.9/10, higher than the parent city of Affton at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Affton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29189219700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Affton
Top eight tracts in Affton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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