Census Tract · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally
Affton Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189220601 ·
St. Louis County, MO · pop 6,153 · 41% of tract blocks fall in Affton
Affton is where census tract 29189220601 sits, home to 6,153 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.5/10. It lands near the 57th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 49% of renter households, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $914 a month against an average household income of $87,851 a year, roughly 12% of income at the averages. About 10% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%Stable renters 5%Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units2,596
Renter share10.4%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$87,851
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0th percentile
#5 of 5 tracts In Affton
Very Low
Within county
38th percentile
#147 of 236 tracts In St. Louis County
Low
Within state
15th percentile
#1,412 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Very Low
National
14th percentile
#72,539 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Affton and the region
Centroid at 38.5273, -90.3346 · click any tract to drill in
Why Affton scores 2.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Affton
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$914 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Affton
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Affton
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Affton
3.8
How Affton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 21
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
10%Socioeconomic
43%Household composition
21%Racial/ethnic minority
42%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
136Total filings over 8 yrs
4.12%Avg annual filing rate
6.9%Peak (2012)
18Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year2003 to 2017
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
78Total filings 2020-21
1.0Avg monthly (observed)
1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
0.55×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.1%Housing insecurity
5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
8.2%Food insecurity
5.7%SNAP enrollment
5.6%Transit barriers
6.1%No health insurance
15.4%Frequent mental distress
33.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Affton
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 4.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Affton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.55x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189220601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189220601?
Census tract 29189220601 in Affton scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189220601?
Median gross rent is $914/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189220601?
4.4% of residents in tract 29189220601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,153.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189220601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 43th, minority 21th, housing 42th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189220601?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 136 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189220601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.12% of renter households, peaking at 6.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189220601 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.55× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189220601 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189220601 compare to Affton overall?
Tract 29189220601 scores 2.1/10, lower than the parent city of Affton at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Affton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Affton
Top eight tracts in Affton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.