Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally
Affton Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189219801 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,726 · 87% of tract blocks fall in Affton
With a score of 3.1/10, tract 29189219801 in Affton, MO reads lower for landlord eviction risk. 28% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the St. Louis County average of 42.0%.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,601
Renter share21.0%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$78,466
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
National
22
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Affton and the region
Centroid at 38.5609, -90.3150 · click any tract to drill in
Why Affton scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Affton
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$904 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Affton
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Affton
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Affton
3.8
How Affton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 30%Racial/ethnic minority
- 26%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 41%Grade B
- 11%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 45Total filings 2020-21
- 0.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.42×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.3%Food insecurity
- 6.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 32.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Affton
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.7/10. SNAP participation runs 6.7% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 9.3% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 0.9 points below the St. Louis County average of 4.0. At $904 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Affton commands.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 22% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189219801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189219801?
Census tract 29189219801 in Affton scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189219801?
Median gross rent is $904/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189219801?
6.6% of residents in tract 29189219801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,726.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189219801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 54th, minority 30th, housing 26th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 29189219801 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.42× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 29189219801 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29189219801 compare to Affton overall?
Tract 29189219801 scores 3.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Affton at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Affton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 29189219801 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Affton
Top eight tracts in Affton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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