Within parent city
11
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally
Chesterfield Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189215235 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 5,148
In Chesterfield in St. Louis County, census tract 29189215235 scores 5.4/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 53rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 52% of renter households, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,469 monthly, set against $141,302 in average yearly household income, roughly 12% of income at the averages. Renters make up 12% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units2,041
Renter share12.4%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$141,302
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
3
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
2
th percentile
Very Low
National
2
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesterfield and the region
Centroid at 38.6552, -90.5382 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chesterfield scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesterfield
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,469 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesterfield
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesterfield
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesterfield
2.9
How Chesterfield compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 16
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 27%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 47Total filings 2020-21
- 0.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.98×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.2%Housing insecurity
- 3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.5%Food insecurity
- 3.2%SNAP enrollment
- 3.9%Transit barriers
- 4.4%No health insurance
- 11.3%Frequent mental distress
- 28.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chesterfield
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesterfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 5.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.98x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189215235
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189215235?
Census tract 29189215235 in Chesterfield scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189215235?
Median gross rent is $1,469/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189215235?
2.6% of residents in tract 29189215235 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,148.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189215235?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 27th, minority 43th, housing 38th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 29189215235 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.98× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 29189215235 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29189215235 compare to Chesterfield overall?
Tract 29189215235 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Chesterfield at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesterfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesterfield
Top eight tracts in Chesterfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
29189221631
2.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
29189221630
1.9
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MO
29189217854
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MO
29189215236
1.4
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MO
29189217851
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MO
29189217853
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MO
29189215231
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MO
29189217841
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
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