Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Lemay Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 29189220102 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,806 · 90% of tract blocks fall in Lemay
Census tract 29189220102 covers part of Lemay, MO, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,806. Against St. Louis County at 42.0%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,492
Renter share33.2%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$48,618
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
78
th percentile
High
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lemay and the region
Centroid at 38.5383, -90.2963 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lemay scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lemay
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$862 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lemay
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lemay
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lemay
5.0
How Lemay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 80Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.61×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.5%Housing insecurity
- 9.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.5%Food insecurity
- 13.0%SNAP enrollment
- 9.2%Transit barriers
- 9.3%No health insurance
- 18.0%Frequent mental distress
- 40.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lemay
The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.5/10.
On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.1/10.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the St. Louis County average of 4.0 closely. Average gross rent is $862, close to the Lemay average.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $48,618. 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189220102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189220102?
Census tract 29189220102 in Lemay scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189220102?
Median gross rent is $862/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189220102?
13.5% of residents in tract 29189220102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,806.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189220102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 59th, minority 31th, housing 80th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 29189220102 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.61× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 29189220102 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29189220102 compare to Lemay overall?
Tract 29189220102 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lemay at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lemay eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 29189220102 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lemay
Top eight tracts in Lemay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related