Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Lemay Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 29189220501 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 6,065 · 75% of tract blocks fall in Lemay
Tract 29189220501 sits in Lemay eviction risk, MO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. Against St. Louis County at 42.0%, 28% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units2,650
Renter share18.7%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate13.9%
Median income$56,624
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
75
th percentile
Elevated
National
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lemay and the region
Centroid at 38.5192, -90.2932 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lemay scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lemay
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
13.9% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$851 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lemay
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lemay
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lemay
5.0
How Lemay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 22%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 5%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 202Total filings over 8 yrs
- 5.71%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.7%Peak (2012)
- 22Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 29% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 143Total filings 2020-21
- 1.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.73×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.7%Housing insecurity
- 9.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.8%Food insecurity
- 11.9%SNAP enrollment
- 8.8%Transit barriers
- 9.6%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 39.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lemay
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2/10.
Court records carry 202 eviction filings across 8 observed years. Filings peaked in 2012 at 7.7% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 5.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the St. Louis County average of 4.0 closely. Average gross rent is $851, close to the Lemay average. Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $56,624.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189220501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189220501?
Census tract 29189220501 in Lemay scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189220501?
Median gross rent is $851/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189220501?
13.9% of residents in tract 29189220501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,065.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189220501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 78th, minority 22th, housing 65th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189220501?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 202 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189220501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.71% of renter households, peaking at 7.7% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189220501 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.73× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189220501 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189220501 compare to Lemay overall?
Tract 29189220501 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Lemay at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lemay eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29189220501 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lemay
Top eight tracts in Lemay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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