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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,265 of 84,120 nationally

Patch Eviction Risk: Lower , Lemay

Tract 29189220101 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,950 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Here is how census tract 29189220101, in Patch in Lemay eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 4.9/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,950. That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

16% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $899 monthly, set against $56,494 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 25% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 21% Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,539
Renter share25.0%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate18.2%
Median income$56,494

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 2 tracts In Patch
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileBottomTop
#5 of 5 tracts In Lemay
Very Low
Within county
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileBottomTop
#193 of 236 tracts In St. Louis County
Very Low
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileBottomTop
#734 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lemay and the region

Centroid at 38.5418, -90.2836 · click any tract to drill in

Why Patch scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lemay
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
18.2% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$899 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lemay
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lemay
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lemay
5.0

How Patch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Patch risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.63.6This tracttract 220101Lemay: 4.24.2Lemayparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

  • 70Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.73×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2021-08-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-03-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-06-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-09-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-10-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Patch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Patch

The heaviest input here is housing court bias at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lemay eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and in line with the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.73x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 29189220101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189220101?

Census tract 29189220101 in the Patch neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29189220101?

Median gross rent is $899/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29189220101?

18.2% of residents in tract 29189220101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,950.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29189220101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 38th, minority 11th, housing 10th.

Q5

Is tract 29189220101 considered part of Patch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29189220101 fall within Patch (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 29189220101 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.73× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.

Q7

What share of households in tract 29189220101 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 29189220101 compare to Lemay overall?

Tract 29189220101 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Lemay at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lemay eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q9

Was tract 29189220101 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lemay

Top eight tracts in Lemay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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