Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally
University City Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189215700 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 6,000 · 93% of tract blocks fall in University City
With a score of 5.1/10, tract 29189215700 in University City ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 6,000 residents. On the national scale it ranks #48,780 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 32% of renter households, a high level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,270 monthly, set against $59,263 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units2,445
Renter share36.6%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate14.7%
Median income$59,263
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
51
th percentile
Moderate
National
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across University City and the region
Centroid at 38.6747, -90.3476 · click any tract to drill in
Why University City scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from University City
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
14.7% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,270 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from University City
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University City
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from University City
2.1
How University City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 15%Grade C
- 11%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 557Total filings over 8 yrs
- 8.27%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.5%Peak (2012)
- 79Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 44% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 351Total filings 2020-21
- 4.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.70×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.6%Housing insecurity
- 14.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.3%Food insecurity
- 17.4%SNAP enrollment
- 11.6%Transit barriers
- 8.9%No health insurance
- 16.8%Frequent mental distress
- 38.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in University City
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 5.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from University City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and in line with the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.70x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 557 eviction filings here over 8 tracked years, with about 8.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.5% of renter households in 2012.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189215700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189215700?
Census tract 29189215700 in University City scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189215700?
Median gross rent is $1,270/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189215700?
14.7% of residents in tract 29189215700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,000.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189215700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 72th, minority 80th, housing 42th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189215700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 557 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189215700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.27% of renter households, peaking at 10.5% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189215700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189215700 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189215700 compare to University City overall?
Tract 29189215700 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of University City at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29189215700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 11% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in University City
Top eight tracts in University City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Skinker DeBaliviere
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
29189215802
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
29189215803
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
2.3
/ 10 · Low
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