Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
University City Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 29189215802 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 1,663
Census tract 29189215802 covers part of University City, MO, and scores 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 37%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 47%
Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units911
Renter share85.6%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate19.0%
Median income$68,849
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
80
th percentile
High
National
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across University City and the region
Centroid at 38.6613, -90.3612 · click any tract to drill in
Why University City scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from University City
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
19.0% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,106 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from University City
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University City
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from University City
2.1
How University City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 21%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 391Total filings 2020-21
- 5.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 3.95×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.0%Housing insecurity
- 8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.8%Food insecurity
- 11.5%SNAP enrollment
- 8.5%Transit barriers
- 9.3%No health insurance
- 14.4%Frequent mental distress
- 46.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in University City
This is renter territory: 86% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.5/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 46.6% against 31.5% nationally.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.8/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $1,106, 16% below the University City average.
It sits 0.7 points above the St. Louis County average of 4.0. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.1/10. Statewide the MO average is 3.8, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 45% of renters.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189215802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189215802?
Census tract 29189215802 in University City scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189215802?
Median gross rent is $1,106/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189215802?
19.0% of residents in tract 29189215802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,663.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189215802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 59th, minority 42th, housing 81th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 29189215802 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 3.95× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 29189215802 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29189215802 compare to University City overall?
Tract 29189215802 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of University City at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 29189215802 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in University City
Top eight tracts in University City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Skinker DeBaliviere
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
29189215700
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
29189215803
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
3
/ 10 · Low
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