Within neighborhood
88
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Varsity neighborhood Eviction Risk: Moderate , University City
Tract 29189215902 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,267 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 29189215902 sits in the Varsity neighborhood area of University City eviction risk, MO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. It is home to 3,267 residents. Against St. Louis County at 42.0%, 13% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,457
Renter share29.3%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$54,936
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
90
th percentile
Very High
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across University City and the region
Centroid at 38.6689, -90.3173 · click any tract to drill in
Why Varsity neighborhood scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from University City
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,065 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from University City
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University City
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from University City
2.1
How Varsity neighborhood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 6%Grade A
- 71%Grade B
- 4%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 208Total filings 2020-21
- 2.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.91×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Varsity neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.4%Housing insecurity
- 15.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.8%Food insecurity
- 18.1%SNAP enrollment
- 12.0%Transit barriers
- 8.3%No health insurance
- 17.0%Frequent mental distress
- 38.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Varsity neighborhood
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.8/10.
Average gross rent is $1,065, 19% below the University City average. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
It sits 0.8 points above the St. Louis County average of 4.0. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.5/10. Statewide the MO average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189215902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189215902?
Census tract 29189215902 in the Varsity neighborhood neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189215902?
Median gross rent is $1,065/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 13% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189215902?
19.2% of residents in tract 29189215902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,267.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189215902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 67th, minority 80th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 29189215902 considered part of Varsity neighborhood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29189215902 fall within Varsity neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189215902 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.91× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189215902 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189215902 compare to University City overall?
Tract 29189215902 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of University City at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29189215902 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in University City
Top eight tracts in University City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Skinker DeBaliviere
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
29189215700
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
29189215802
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
29189215803
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
3
/ 10 · Low
Related
Explore the geography around tract 29189215902
Parent city ↑
University City
3.4 / 10
Parent county ↑
St. Louis County
Parent state ↑
Missouri
Sibling tract →
Varsity neighborhood
4.8 / 10
Sibling tract →
Varsity neighborhood
4.6 / 10
Sibling tract →
Varsity neighborhood
6 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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