Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
University City Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189215803 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 2,256
With a score of 3.2/10, tract 29189215803 in University City, MO reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,256 residents. 23% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the St. Louis County average of 42.0%.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 58%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,703
Renter share75.9%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$89,306
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
National
25
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across University City and the region
Centroid at 38.6630, -90.3542 · click any tract to drill in
Why University City scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from University City
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,729 rent vs county FMR
9.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from University City
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University City
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from University City
2.1
How University City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 10%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 234Total filings 2020-21
- 3.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.15×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.4%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.0%Food insecurity
- 3.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.7%Transit barriers
- 4.7%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 26.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in University City
The voucher gap is 42.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The dominant input is supply constraint at 9.2/10.
76% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Average gross rent is $1,729, 31% above the University City average. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10.
On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. 14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. SNAP participation runs 3.7% against 15.2% nationally.
Housing insecurity runs 6.4% against 14.2% nationally. It sits 0.8 points below the St. Louis County average of 4.0.
This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 25th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 1.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189215803
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189215803?
Census tract 29189215803 in University City scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189215803?
Median gross rent is $1,729/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189215803?
7.4% of residents in tract 29189215803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,256.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189215803?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 18th, minority 48th, housing 14th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 29189215803 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.15× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 29189215803 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29189215803 compare to University City overall?
Tract 29189215803 scores 3.2/10, right in line with the parent city of University City at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 29189215803 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in University City
Top eight tracts in University City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Skinker DeBaliviere
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
29189215700
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
29189215802
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
3
/ 10 · Low
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