Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally
University City Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189215803 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 2,256
In University City in St. Louis County, census tract 29189215803 scores 4.8/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #57,547 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
23% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,729 monthly, set against $89,306 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 76% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 58%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,703
Renter share75.9%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$89,306
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
27
th percentile
Low
National
25
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across University City and the region
Centroid at 38.6630, -90.3542 · click any tract to drill in
Why University City scores 2.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from University City
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,729 rent vs county FMR
9.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from University City
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University City
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from University City
2.1
How University City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 10%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 234Total filings 2020-21
- 3.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.15×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.4%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.0%Food insecurity
- 3.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.7%Transit barriers
- 4.7%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 26.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in University City
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 9.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from University City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and in line with the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.15x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189215803
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189215803?
Census tract 29189215803 in University City scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189215803?
Median gross rent is $1,729/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189215803?
7.4% of residents in tract 29189215803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,256.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189215803?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 18th, minority 48th, housing 14th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 29189215803 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.15× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 29189215803 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29189215803 compare to University City overall?
Tract 29189215803 scores 2.7/10, right in line with the parent city of University City at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 29189215803 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in University City
Top eight tracts in University City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Skinker DeBaliviere
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
29189215700
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
29189215802
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
2.3
/ 10 · Low
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