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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Central Eviction Risk: Moderate , Great Falls

Tract 30013000900 · Cascade County, MT · pop 3,700 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

30013000900 is a census tract in the Central area of Great Falls, MT. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,700 residents. Average gross rent is $450, 50% below the Great Falls average.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 23% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,362
Renter share37.4%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate26.7%
Median income$53,316

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Central
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 19 tracts In Great Falls
Very High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 25 tracts In Cascade County
Very High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#50 of 319 tracts In Montana
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Great Falls and the region

Centroid at 47.4997, -111.2730 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Great Falls
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Montana legislature & governorship
1.7
Economic stress
26.7% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$450 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Great Falls
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Great Falls
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Great Falls
2.0

How Central compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Central risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0009003.2Great Fallsparent city3.5Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 1.1 points above the Cascade County average of 3.5.

10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $53,316, annual rent is just 10%.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 39% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 30013000900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30013000900?

Census tract 30013000900 in the Central neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 30013000900?

Median gross rent is $450/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 30013000900?

26.7% of residents in tract 30013000900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,700.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 30013000900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 80th, minority 38th, housing 69th.
Q5

Is tract 30013000900 considered part of Central?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30013000900 fall within Central (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 30013000900 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 30013000900 compare to Great Falls overall?

Tract 30013000900 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Great Falls at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Great Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Great Falls

Top eight tracts in Great Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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