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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Great Falls

Tract 30013000700 · Cascade County, MT · pop 2,230 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

30013000700 is a census tract in the Downtown area of Great Falls, MT. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,230. The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 37% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units749
Renter share66.2%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate33.4%
Median income$38,480

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Downtown
Very High
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 19 tracts In Great Falls
High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 25 tracts In Cascade County
Very High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#50 of 319 tracts In Montana
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Great Falls and the region

Centroid at 47.4993, -111.3017 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Great Falls
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Montana legislature & governorship
1.7
Economic stress
33.4% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$751 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Great Falls
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Great Falls
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Great Falls
2.0

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0007003.2Great Fallsparent city3.5Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. The poverty rate is 33%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10.

45% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Cascade County average of 37.1%. Disability prevalence runs 43.6% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Cascade County average of 3.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

SNAP participation runs 25.0% against 15.2% nationally. At $751 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Great Falls commands.

Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 30013000700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30013000700?

Census tract 30013000700 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 30013000700?

Median gross rent is $751/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 30013000700?

33.4% of residents in tract 30013000700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,230.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 30013000700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 55th, minority 46th, housing 97th.
Q5

Is tract 30013000700 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30013000700 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 30013000700 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 30013000700 compare to Great Falls overall?

Tract 30013000700 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Great Falls at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Great Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Great Falls

Top eight tracts in Great Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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