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Census Tract · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Great Falls Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 30013002100 · Cascade County, MT · pop 4,984 · 68% of tract blocks fall in Great Falls

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 30013002100 (Great Falls, Montana) comes in at $1/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 12% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $882 a month while the average household earns $54,154 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 25% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,447
Renter share47.3%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate16.7%
Median income$54,154

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 19 tracts In Great Falls
Elevated
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 25 tracts In Cascade County
High
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#81 of 319 tracts In Montana
Elevated
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,332 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Great Falls and the region

Centroid at 47.4705, -111.2159 · click any tract to drill in

Why Great Falls scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Great Falls
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Montana legislature & governorship
1.7
Economic stress
16.7% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$882 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Great Falls
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Great Falls
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Great Falls
2.0

How Great Falls compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Great Falls risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 002100Great Falls: 2.12.1Great Fallsparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Great Falls

What moves this score most is economic stress at 4.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Great Falls eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cascade County average of 3.8 and in line with the Montana statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 30013002100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30013002100?

Census tract 30013002100 in Great Falls scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 30013002100?

Median gross rent is $882/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 30013002100?

16.7% of residents in tract 30013002100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,984.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 30013002100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 50th, minority 19th, housing 81th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 30013002100 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 30013002100 compare to Great Falls overall?

Tract 30013002100 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Great Falls at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Great Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Great Falls

Top eight tracts in Great Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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