Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Great Falls
Tract 30013000400 · Cascade County, MT · pop 2,121 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 4.1/10, tract 30013000400 in the Downtown area of Great Falls, MT reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,121 residents. Severe burden reaches 42%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units885
Renter share62.3%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate18.5%
Median income$54,653
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Great Falls and the region
Centroid at 47.5135, -111.2859 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Great Falls
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Montana legislature & governorship
1.7
Economic stress
18.5% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$833 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Great Falls
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Great Falls
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Great Falls
2.0
How Downtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 45%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.2%Housing insecurity
- 9.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.2%Food insecurity
- 14.9%SNAP enrollment
- 11.0%Transit barriers
- 12.5%No health insurance
- 21.7%Frequent mental distress
- 39.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Against Cascade County at 37.1%, 50% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.7/10.
The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 8.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Cascade County average of 3.5 closely.
Average gross rent is $833, close to the Great Falls average. Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $54,653. 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 30013000400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30013000400?
Census tract 30013000400 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 30013000400?
Median gross rent is $833/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 30013000400?
18.5% of residents in tract 30013000400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,121.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 30013000400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 38th, minority 45th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 30013000400 considered part of Downtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30013000400 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 30013000400 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 30013000400 compare to Great Falls overall?
Tract 30013000400 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Great Falls at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Great Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Great Falls
Top eight tracts in Great Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MT
Downtown
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MT
Downtown
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MT
Central
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MT
Downtown
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MT
30013002100
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MT
Westside
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MT
Sunnyside
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MT
30013002201
3.4
/ 10 · Low
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