Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Great Falls

Tract 30013000400 · Cascade County, MT · pop 2,121 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 30013000400 (the Downtown neighborhood of Great Falls, Montana) comes in at 4.1/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 14% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 42% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $833 monthly, set against $54,653 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 31% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units885
Renter share62.3%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate18.5%
Median income$54,653

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Downtown
Low
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 19 tracts In Great Falls
High
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 25 tracts In Cascade County
High
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#73 of 319 tracts In Montana
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Great Falls and the region

Centroid at 47.5135, -111.2859 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Great Falls
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Montana legislature & governorship
1.7
Economic stress
18.5% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$833 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Great Falls
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Great Falls
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Great Falls
2.0

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 000400Great Falls: 2.12.1Great Fallsparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 4.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Great Falls eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cascade County average of 3.8 and in line with the Montana statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 30013000400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30013000400?

Census tract 30013000400 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 30013000400?

Median gross rent is $833/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 30013000400?

18.5% of residents in tract 30013000400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,121.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 30013000400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 38th, minority 45th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 30013000400 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30013000400 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 30013000400 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 30013000400 compare to Great Falls overall?

Tract 30013000400 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Great Falls at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Great Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Great Falls

Top eight tracts in Great Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related