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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Great Falls

Tract 30013010800 · Cascade County, MT · pop 2,673 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

How risky is the Downtown neighborhood of Great Falls for landlords? Census tract 30013010800 scores 4.7/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 28th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 62% of renter households, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $701 a month while the average household earns $24,980 a year, roughly 34% of income at the averages. About 74% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 28% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units1,497
Renter share73.9%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate41.0%
Median income$24,980

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Downtown
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 19 tracts In Great Falls
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 25 tracts In Cascade County
Very High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 319 tracts In Montana
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Great Falls and the region

Centroid at 47.5113, -111.2998 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Great Falls
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Montana legislature & governorship
1.7
Economic stress
41.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$701 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Great Falls
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Great Falls
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Great Falls
2.0

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 010800Great Falls: 2.12.1Great Fallsparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Great Falls eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cascade County average of 3.8 and above the Montana statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 30013010800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30013010800?

Census tract 30013010800 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 30013010800?

Median gross rent is $701/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 30013010800?

41.0% of residents in tract 30013010800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,673.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 30013010800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 45th, minority 43th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 30013010800 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30013010800 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 30013010800 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 30013010800 compare to Great Falls overall?

Tract 30013010800 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Great Falls at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Great Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Great Falls

Top eight tracts in Great Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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