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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Great Falls

Tract 30013000800 · Cascade County, MT · pop 1,451 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

How risky is the Downtown neighborhood of Great Falls for landlords? Census tract 30013000800 scores 3.7/10, the Lower tier. It lands near the 7th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 42% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $707 a month while the average household earns $44,967 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 28% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units695
Renter share48.8%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate16.0%
Median income$44,967

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Downtown
Very Low
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 19 tracts In Great Falls
High
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 25 tracts In Cascade County
High
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#81 of 319 tracts In Montana
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Great Falls and the region

Centroid at 47.4997, -111.2860 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Great Falls
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Montana legislature & governorship
1.7
Economic stress
16.0% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$707 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Great Falls
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Great Falls
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Great Falls
2.0

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 000800Great Falls: 2.12.1Great Fallsparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Great Falls eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cascade County average of 3.8 and below the Montana statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 30013000800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30013000800?

Census tract 30013000800 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 30013000800?

Median gross rent is $707/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 30013000800?

16.0% of residents in tract 30013000800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,451.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 30013000800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 13th, minority 41th, housing 90th.
Q5

Is tract 30013000800 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30013000800 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 30013000800 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 30013000800 compare to Great Falls overall?

Tract 30013000800 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Great Falls at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Great Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Great Falls

Top eight tracts in Great Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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