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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Great Falls

Tract 30013000800 · Cascade County, MT · pop 1,451 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 4/10, tract 30013000800 in the Downtown area of Great Falls, MT reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,451 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 28% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units695
Renter share48.8%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate16.0%
Median income$44,967

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Downtown
Very Low
Within parent city
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 19 tracts In Great Falls
Elevated
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 25 tracts In Cascade County
High
Within state
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#100 of 319 tracts In Montana
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Great Falls and the region

Centroid at 47.4997, -111.2860 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Great Falls
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Montana legislature & governorship
1.7
Economic stress
16.0% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$707 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Great Falls
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Great Falls
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Great Falls
2.0

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.0This tracttract 0008003.2Great Fallsparent city3.5Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Average gross rent is $707, 21% below the Great Falls average. Against Cascade County at 37.1%, 42% of renters here are cost-burdened. Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 7.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Cascade County average of 3.5 closely. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $44,967.

49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 30013000800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30013000800?

Census tract 30013000800 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 30013000800?

Median gross rent is $707/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 30013000800?

16.0% of residents in tract 30013000800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,451.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 30013000800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 13th, minority 41th, housing 90th.
Q5

Is tract 30013000800 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30013000800 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 30013000800 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 30013000800 compare to Great Falls overall?

Tract 30013000800 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Great Falls at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Great Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Great Falls

Top eight tracts in Great Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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