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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Great Falls

Tract 30013000700 · Cascade County, MT · pop 2,230 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Eviction risk in the Downtown area of Great Falls centers on tract 30013000700, which scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 2,230 residents. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

45% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $751 monthly, set against $38,480 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 66% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 37% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units749
Renter share66.2%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate33.4%
Median income$38,480

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Downtown
Elevated
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 19 tracts In Great Falls
Very High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 25 tracts In Cascade County
Very High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#24 of 319 tracts In Montana
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Great Falls and the region

Centroid at 47.4993, -111.3017 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Great Falls
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Montana legislature & governorship
1.7
Economic stress
33.4% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$751 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Great Falls
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Great Falls
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Great Falls
2.0

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 000700Great Falls: 2.12.1Great Fallsparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

What moves this score most is economic stress at 8.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Great Falls eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cascade County average of 3.8 and above the Montana statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 30013000700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30013000700?

Census tract 30013000700 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 30013000700?

Median gross rent is $751/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 30013000700?

33.4% of residents in tract 30013000700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,230.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 30013000700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 55th, minority 46th, housing 97th.
Q5

Is tract 30013000700 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30013000700 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 30013000700 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 30013000700 compare to Great Falls overall?

Tract 30013000700 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Great Falls at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Great Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Great Falls

Top eight tracts in Great Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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