Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Airspace Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lincoln

Tract 31109002002 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 2,843 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

For landlords sizing up the Airspace neighborhood of Lincoln, census tract 31109002002 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. It lands near the 25th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 36% of renter households, a high level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $720 a month against an average household income of $34,078 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 96% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 62% Owners 3%
Tract context
Occupied units1,537
Renter share96.4%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate31.0%
Median income$34,078

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Airspace
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 76 tracts In Lincoln
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 81 tracts In Lancaster County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 553 tracts In Nebraska
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln and the region

Centroid at 40.8042, -96.7056 · click any tract to drill in

Why Airspace scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
31.0% poverty · this tract
7.7
Supply constraint
$720 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
3.0

How Airspace compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Airspace risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 002002Lincoln: 3.13.1Lincolnparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,250Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 6.02%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.7%Peak (2014)
  • 72Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 311090020022002: 75 filings (4.59/100 renter HHs)2003: 50 filings (3.06/100 renter HHs)2005: 71 filings (4.93/100 renter HHs)2006: 92 filings (6.38/100 renter HHs)2007: 80 filings (5.55/100 renter HHs)2008: 112 filings (7.77/100 renter HHs)2009: 110 filings (7.63/100 renter HHs)2010: 79 filings (5.57/100 renter HHs)2011: 95 filings (6.32/100 renter HHs)2012: 107 filings (7.12/100 renter HHs)2013: 109 filings (7.25/100 renter HHs)2014: 116 filings (7.72/100 renter HHs)2015: 82 filings (5.46/100 renter HHs)2016: 72 filings (4.94/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 14 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Airspace

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 7.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lancaster County average of 4.4 and above the Nebraska statewide average of 3.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 31109002002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109002002?

Census tract 31109002002 in the Airspace neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 31109002002?

Median gross rent is $720/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 31109002002?

31.0% of residents in tract 31109002002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,843.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 31109002002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 78th, minority 60th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 31109002002 considered part of Airspace?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109002002 fall within Airspace (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31109002002?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,250 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 31109002002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.02% of renter households, peaking at 7.7% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 31109002002 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 31109002002 compare to Lincoln overall?

Tract 31109002002 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 31109002002 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln

Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related