Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
North Lincoln Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 31109000500 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 2,453 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
31109000500 is a census tract in the North Lincoln area of Lincoln, NE. It scores 5/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,453 residents. The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47%
Stable renters 43%
Owners 10%
Tract context
Occupied units1,239
Renter share90.8%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate37.3%
Median income$39,042
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
96
th percentile
Very High
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lincoln and the region
Centroid at 40.8226, -96.7113 · click any tract to drill in
Why North Lincoln scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
37.3% poverty · this tract
9.3
Supply constraint
$1,011 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
3.0
How North Lincoln compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 41%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 217Total filings over 14 yrs
- 2.68%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.6%Peak (2012)
- 14Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within North Lincoln. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.2%Housing insecurity
- 11.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.4%Food insecurity
- 20.0%SNAP enrollment
- 13.7%Transit barriers
- 13.2%No health insurance
- 20.3%Frequent mental distress
- 32.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North Lincoln
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.3/10. 91% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
The poverty rate is 37%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Cost burden runs about half here against 43.9% across Lancaster County.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.8/10. Against the Lancaster County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 217 filings here across 14 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2012, when 4.6% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lincoln. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #32,842 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 31109000500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109000500?
Census tract 31109000500 in the North Lincoln neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 31109000500?
Median gross rent is $1,011/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 31109000500?
37.3% of residents in tract 31109000500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,453.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 31109000500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 13th, minority 51th, housing 93th.
Q5
Is tract 31109000500 considered part of North Lincoln?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109000500 fall within North Lincoln (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31109000500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 217 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 31109000500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.68% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 31109000500 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 31109000500 compare to Lincoln overall?
Tract 31109000500 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 31109000500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln
Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NE
Cather
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
Kimco Industrial Park
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
Hillsdale
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
Makers Row
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
North Lincoln
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
Telegraph District
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
WJ Marshalls
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
Downtown
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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