Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
H.J.B. Industrial Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lincoln
Tract 31109000202 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 3,836 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
31109000202 is a census tract in the H.J.B. Industrial Park area of Lincoln, NE. It scores 5/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,836 residents. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,629
Renter share68.2%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate24.1%
Median income$37,472
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
97
th percentile
Very High
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lincoln and the region
Centroid at 40.8432, -96.6489 · click any tract to drill in
Why H.J.B. Industrial Park scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
24.1% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$779 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
3.0
How H.J.B. Industrial Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 80%Socioeconomic
- 27%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 46%Grade B
- 41%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 718Total filings over 14 yrs
- 4.57%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.5%Peak (2013)
- 63Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 47% over the past 14 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.9%Housing insecurity
- 10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.9%Food insecurity
- 16.4%SNAP enrollment
- 11.5%Transit barriers
- 11.8%No health insurance
- 19.4%Frequent mental distress
- 31.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in H.J.B. Industrial Park
At $779 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of Lincoln commands. This is renter territory: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.8/10. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.9/10.
The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 1.2 points above the Lancaster County average of 3.8. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 718 filings here across 14 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2013 at 6.5% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lincoln. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 4.6% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 31109000202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109000202?
Census tract 31109000202 in the H.J.B. Industrial Park neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 31109000202?
Median gross rent is $779/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 31109000202?
24.1% of residents in tract 31109000202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,836.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 31109000202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 27th, minority 37th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 31109000202 considered part of H.J.B. Industrial Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109000202 fall within H.J.B. Industrial Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31109000202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 718 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 31109000202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.57% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 31109000202 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 31109000202 compare to Lincoln overall?
Tract 31109000202 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 31109000202 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln
Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NE
Kimco Industrial Park
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
North Lincoln
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
Hillsdale
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
North Lincoln
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
Telegraph District
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
Makers Row
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
WJ Marshalls
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
Downtown
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Related