Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lincoln

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. 60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Lancaster County average of 43.9%. The poverty rate is 51%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

This is renter territory: 86% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.8/10. Against the Lancaster County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

Average gross rent is $910, 16% below the Lincoln average. The filing record is not thin: 143 evictions over 14 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2015, when 6.1% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lincoln. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.