Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
WJ Marshalls Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lincoln
Tract 31109000700 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 2,521 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 31109000700 sits in the WJ Marshalls area of Lincoln eviction risk, NE, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5/10. Population here is 2,521. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,235
Renter share76.8%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate25.6%
Median income$46,837
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lincoln and the region
Centroid at 40.8201, -96.6882 · click any tract to drill in
Why WJ Marshalls scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
25.6% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$792 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
3.0
How WJ Marshalls compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 16%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 22%Grade B
- 46%Grade C
- 32%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 550Total filings over 14 yrs
- 4.66%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.3%Peak (2006)
- 40Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 14 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.5%Housing insecurity
- 8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.8%Food insecurity
- 14.0%SNAP enrollment
- 9.9%Transit barriers
- 11.1%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 26.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in WJ Marshalls
This is renter territory: 77% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Average gross rent is $792, 27% below the Lincoln average. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.8/10.
The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2/10.
It sits 1.2 points above the Lancaster County average of 3.8. Court records carry 550 eviction filings across 14 observed years. The worst year on record was 2006, when 8.3% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 4.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NE average is 3.7, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 31109000700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109000700?
Census tract 31109000700 in the WJ Marshalls neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 31109000700?
Median gross rent is $792/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 31109000700?
25.6% of residents in tract 31109000700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,521.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 31109000700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 16th, minority 69th, housing 84th.
Q5
Is tract 31109000700 considered part of WJ Marshalls?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109000700 fall within WJ Marshalls (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31109000700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 550 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 31109000700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.66% of renter households, peaking at 8.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 31109000700 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 31109000700 compare to Lincoln overall?
Tract 31109000700 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 31109000700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 32% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln
Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NE
Telegraph District
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
Makers Row
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
North Lincoln
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
Downtown
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
North Lincoln
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
Capitol
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
Struwe
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
Hyland Park
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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