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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

WJ Marshalls Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lincoln

Tract 31109000700 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 2,521 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

How risky is WJ Marshalls in Lincoln for landlords? Census tract 31109000700 scores 4.8/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 32nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 45% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $792 monthly, set against $46,837 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 77% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 42% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,235
Renter share76.8%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate25.6%
Median income$46,837

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In WJ Marshalls
Moderate
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 76 tracts In Lincoln
High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 81 tracts In Lancaster County
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#43 of 553 tracts In Nebraska
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln and the region

Centroid at 40.8201, -96.6882 · click any tract to drill in

Why WJ Marshalls scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
25.6% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$792 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
3.0

How WJ Marshalls compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
WJ Marshalls risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 000700Lincoln: 3.13.1Lincolnparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 550Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 4.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.3%Peak (2006)
  • 40Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 311090007002002: 39 filings (4.06/100 renter HHs)2003: 36 filings (3.75/100 renter HHs)2005: 42 filings (5.52/100 renter HHs)2006: 63 filings (8.28/100 renter HHs)2007: 46 filings (6.04/100 renter HHs)2008: 42 filings (5.52/100 renter HHs)2009: 34 filings (4.47/100 renter HHs)2010: 35 filings (3.70/100 renter HHs)2011: 36 filings (4.02/100 renter HHs)2012: 35 filings (3.91/100 renter HHs)2013: 31 filings (3.46/100 renter HHs)2014: 32 filings (3.58/100 renter HHs)2015: 39 filings (4.36/100 renter HHs)2016: 40 filings (4.52/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 14 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in WJ Marshalls

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 6.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lancaster County average of 4.4 and above the Nebraska statewide average of 3.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 550 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 4.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.3% of renter households in 2006.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 31109000700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109000700?

Census tract 31109000700 in the WJ Marshalls neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 31109000700?

Median gross rent is $792/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 31109000700?

25.6% of residents in tract 31109000700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,521.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 31109000700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 16th, minority 69th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 31109000700 considered part of WJ Marshalls?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109000700 fall within WJ Marshalls (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31109000700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 550 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 31109000700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.66% of renter households, peaking at 8.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 31109000700 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 31109000700 compare to Lincoln overall?

Tract 31109000700 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 31109000700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 32% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln

Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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