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Neighborhood · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally

Overland Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Papillion

Tract 31153010623 · Sarpy County, NE · pop 5,619 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 31153010623 runs through the Overland Hills area of Papillion. With 5,619 residents, it scores 4.2/10 for landlords. It lands near the 16th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 32% of renter households, a high level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,548 monthly, set against $104,592 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 21% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 14% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units2,173
Renter share21.2%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate4.1%
Median income$104,592

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Overland Hills
Very High
Within parent city
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 8 tracts In Papillion
Elevated
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 47 tracts In Sarpy County
Moderate
Within state
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#519 of 553 tracts In Nebraska
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Papillion and the region

Centroid at 41.1559, -96.0690 · click any tract to drill in

Why Overland Hills scores 1.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Papillion
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
4.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,548 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Papillion
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Papillion
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Papillion
3.7

How Overland Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Overland Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.71.7This tracttract 010623Papillion: 2.72.7Papillionparent cityCounty: 2.02.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 106Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 3.41%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.9%Peak (2009)
  • 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 311530106232003: 9 filings (6.33/100 renter HHs)2006: 12 filings (3.72/100 renter HHs)2007: 11 filings (3.41/100 renter HHs)2008: 11 filings (3.41/100 renter HHs)2009: 19 filings (5.88/100 renter HHs)2010: 19 filings (6.11/100 renter HHs)2011: 4 filings (1.40/100 renter HHs)2012: 10 filings (3.51/100 renter HHs)2013: 2 filings (0.70/100 renter HHs)2015: 5 filings (1.75/100 renter HHs)2016: 4 filings (1.29/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 56% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Overland Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Overland Hills

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 7.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Papillion eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sarpy County average of 4.1 and in line with the Nebraska statewide average of 3.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 106 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 3.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.9% of renter households in 2009.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 31153010623

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31153010623?

Census tract 31153010623 in the Overland Hills neighborhood scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 31153010623?

Median gross rent is $1,548/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 31153010623?

4.1% of residents in tract 31153010623 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,619.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 31153010623?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 42th, minority 29th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 31153010623 considered part of Overland Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31153010623 fall within Overland Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31153010623?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 106 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 31153010623 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.41% of renter households, peaking at 5.9% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 31153010623 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 31153010623 compare to Papillion overall?

Tract 31153010623 scores 1.7/10, lower than the parent city of Papillion at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Papillion eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Papillion

Top eight tracts in Papillion ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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