Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally

South End Eviction Risk: Lower , Manchester

Tract 33011002500 · Hillsborough County, NH · pop 5,268 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

For landlords sizing up the South End area of Manchester, census tract 33011002500 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.3/10. That is riskier than about 18% of US census tracts.

About 31% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,488 monthly, set against $98,040 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

3.1

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 21% Owners 69%

Tract context

Occupied units2,155

Renter share30.8%

SVI overall0.46

Poverty rate10.0%

Median income$98,040

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Manchester and the region

Centroid at 42.9651, -71.4408 · click any tract to drill in

Why South End scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Manchester

4.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

New Hampshire legislature & governorship

2.5

Economic stress

10.0% poverty · this tract

2.5

Supply constraint

$1,488 rent vs county FMR

4.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Manchester

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Manchester

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Manchester

3.5

How South End compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

53%Socioeconomic
46%Household composition
45%Racial/ethnic minority
36%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
22%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.8%Housing insecurity
8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
15.2%Food insecurity
11.4%SNAP enrollment
8.0%Transit barriers
9.9%No health insurance
17.3%Frequent mental distress
31.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South End

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 4.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Manchester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hillsborough County average of 4.7 and below the New Hampshire statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 33011002500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 33011002500?

Census tract 33011002500 in the South End neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 33011002500?

Median gross rent is $1,488/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 33011002500?

10.0% of residents in tract 33011002500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,268.

How socially vulnerable is tract 33011002500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 46th, minority 45th, housing 36th.

Is tract 33011002500 considered part of South End?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 33011002500 fall within South End (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 33011002500 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 33011002500 compare to Manchester overall?

Tract 33011002500 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Manchester at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 33011002500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Manchester

Top eight tracts in Manchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.