Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

South End Eviction Risk: Moderate , Manchester

Tract 33011002500 · Hillsborough County, NH · pop 5,268 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 33011002500 covers part of the South End area of Manchester, NH, and scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,268 residents. Cost burden runs 31% here against 45.2% across Hillsborough County.

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 21% Owners 69%

Tract context

Occupied units2,155

Renter share30.8%

SVI overall0.46

Poverty rate10.0%

Median income$98,040

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Manchester and the region

Centroid at 42.9651, -71.4408 · click any tract to drill in

Why South End scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Manchester

4.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

New Hampshire legislature & governorship

2.5

Economic stress

10.0% poverty · this tract

2.5

Supply constraint

$1,488 rent vs county FMR

4.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Manchester

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Manchester

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Manchester

3.5

How South End compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

53%Socioeconomic
46%Household composition
45%Racial/ethnic minority
36%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
22%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.8%Housing insecurity
8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
15.2%Food insecurity
11.4%SNAP enrollment
8.0%Transit barriers
9.9%No health insurance
17.3%Frequent mental distress
31.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South End

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.5/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.1/10. It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.0 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,488, close to the Manchester average. Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $98,040. 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 33011002500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 33011002500?

Census tract 33011002500 in the South End neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 33011002500?

Median gross rent is $1,488/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 33011002500?

10.0% of residents in tract 33011002500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,268.

How socially vulnerable is tract 33011002500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 46th, minority 45th, housing 36th.

Is tract 33011002500 considered part of South End?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 33011002500 fall within South End (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 33011002500 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 33011002500 compare to Manchester overall?

Tract 33011002500 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Manchester at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 33011002500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Manchester

Top eight tracts in Manchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.