Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersville Eviction Risk: Moderate , Manchester

Tract 33011001900 · Hillsborough County, NH · pop 3,359 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

33011001900 is a census tract in the Bakersville area of Manchester, NH. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,359. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 27% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,248
Renter share55.4%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate18.1%
Median income$92,561

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Bakersville
Moderate
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 30 tracts In Manchester
High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 103 tracts In Hillsborough County
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#30 of 349 tracts In New Hampshire
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Manchester and the region

Centroid at 42.9757, -71.4613 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersville scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Manchester
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
New Hampshire legislature & governorship
2.5
Economic stress
18.1% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,513 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manchester
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manchester
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manchester
3.5

How Bakersville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bakersville risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0019004.0Manchesterparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersville

22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.5/10. 51% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Hillsborough County average of 45.2%. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,513, close to the Manchester average. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $92,561.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 33011001900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 33011001900?

Census tract 33011001900 in the Bakersville neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 33011001900?

Median gross rent is $1,513/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 33011001900?

18.1% of residents in tract 33011001900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,359.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 33011001900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 7th, minority 54th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 33011001900 considered part of Bakersville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 33011001900 fall within Bakersville (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 33011001900 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 33011001900 compare to Manchester overall?

Tract 33011001900 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Manchester at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 33011001900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 31% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Manchester

Top eight tracts in Manchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related