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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,922 of 84,120 nationally

McGinley Square Eviction Risk: High , Jersey City

Tract 34017003000 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 2,802 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Tract 34017003000 sits in the McGinley Square area of Jersey City eviction risk, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.4/10. Population here is 2,802. Average gross rent is $1,201, 40% below the Jersey City average.

Risk score
9.4
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 47% Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units1,364
Renter share87.2%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate24.3%
Median income$46,037

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 22 tracts In McGinley Square
Elevated
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#7 of 77 tracts In Jersey City
Very High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 183 tracts In Hudson County
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#76 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jersey City and the region

Centroid at 40.7242, -74.0671 · click any tract to drill in

Why McGinley Square scores 9.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
24.3% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,201 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jersey City
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jersey City
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0

How McGinley Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
McGinley Square risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.4This tracttract 0030008.0Jersey Cityparent city7.7Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 482Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 11.29%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.7%Peak (2014)
  • 101Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2014 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34017003000
Filings dropped 41% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within McGinley Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in McGinley Square

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. This is renter territory: 87% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. It sits 1.7 points above the Hudson County average of 7.7.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Court records carry 482 eviction filings across 4 observed years.

Food insecurity runs 26.2% against 17.8% nationally. The worst year on record was 2014, when 17.7% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Hudson Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 11.3% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #2,922 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 34017003000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017003000?

Census tract 34017003000 in the McGinley Square neighborhood scores 9.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34017003000?

Median gross rent is $1,201/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34017003000?

24.3% of residents in tract 34017003000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,802.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34017003000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 70th, minority 84th, housing 91th.
Q5

Is tract 34017003000 considered part of McGinley Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017003000 fall within McGinley Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017003000?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 482 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017003000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.29% of renter households, peaking at 17.7% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34017003000 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34017003000 compare to Jersey City overall?

Tract 34017003000 scores 9.4/10, higher than the parent city of Jersey City at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jersey City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34017003000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 86% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jersey City

Top eight tracts in Jersey City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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