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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Harbor Eviction Risk: Elevated , Union City

Tract 34017016300 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 4,400 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 34017016300 sits in the Lincoln Harbor area of Union City eviction risk, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.9/10. It is home to 4,400 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.3/10.

Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 33% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,769
Renter share72.1%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate21.6%
Median income$74,495

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 10 tracts In Lincoln Harbor
High
Within parent city
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 18 tracts In Union City
Elevated
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#77 of 183 tracts In Hudson County
Elevated
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#421 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Union City and the region

Centroid at 40.7774, -74.0213 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln Harbor scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Union City
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
21.6% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,625 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.1

How Lincoln Harbor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lincoln Harbor risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.9This tracttract 0163006.8Union Cityparent city7.7Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 558Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 10.17%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.0%Peak (2014)
  • 140Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2014 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34017016300
Filings dropped 21% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lincoln Harbor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Harbor

This is renter territory: 72% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Adults with no health insurance runs 25.9% against 11.3% nationally.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.1/10. 55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Hudson County average of 46.5%. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Running hot, local political climate reads 7.6/10. Court records carry 558 eviction filings across 4 observed years. Food insecurity runs 26.2% against 17.8% nationally.

Filings peaked in 2014 at 13.0% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Hudson Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 10.2% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 34017016300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017016300?

Census tract 34017016300 in the Lincoln Harbor neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34017016300?

Median gross rent is $1,625/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34017016300?

21.6% of residents in tract 34017016300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,400.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34017016300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 88th, minority 91th, housing 73th.
Q5

Is tract 34017016300 considered part of Lincoln Harbor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017016300 fall within Lincoln Harbor (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017016300?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 558 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017016300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.17% of renter households, peaking at 13.0% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34017016300 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34017016300 compare to Union City overall?

Tract 34017016300 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Union City at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34017016300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Union City

Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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